The Panthers have reached an agreement with defenseman Niko Mikkola on a max-term, eight-year extension, per a team announcement Thursday. It carries a cap hit of $5MM for a total value of $40MM, Pierre LeBrun of TSN and The Athletic reports. He was ticketed for unrestricted free agency next summer. His new deal now carries him through the 2033-34 campaign.
Mikkola will only earn $1MM in base salary in each season of the deal, according to PuckPedia. The other $32MM will be paid via signing bonuses. He will land $5.5MM bonus checks in 2026 and 2027, $5.2MM in 2028, $4MM in 2029, $3.1MM in 2030, and $2.9MM from 2031-33. The contract carries a no-movement clause from 2026-27 to 2030-31, downgrading to a 20-team no-trade clause for 2031-32 and a 16-team no-trade clause for 2032-33 and 2033-34. The low base salary creates tax advantages for Mikkola, as well as making a buyout near the end of the contract a disadvantageous maneuver for Florida.
Mikkola, 29, will cash in with the biggest deal of his career after breaking out as a legitimate top-four threat in Florida. He signed a three-year, $7.5MM contract with the Cats in free agency in 2023. He’s in the final year of that deal now, which carries a bargain $2.5MM cap hit. At the time, it was a somewhat risky bet for a player who had demonstrated fine defensive skills but little to no offensive utility in his platform year, recording just six points in 81 games split between the Blues and Rangers.
However, Mikkola quickly proved not to be a drag when deployed as a stabilizing partner for Florida’s top offensive threat on the blue line – first Brandon Montour in 2023-24, then Seth Jones after the Panthers acquired him from the Blackhawks at last year’s trade deadline. The 6’6″, 204-lb lefty has averaged over 20 minutes per game in both of his seasons in Sunrise, logging a 9-30–39 scoring line with a +23 rating in 158 appearances from 2023-25.
His calling card is still that of a prototypical hard-nosed, shutdown defender, just one with enough offensive utility to maintain being a net positive in a top-four role and not drag down a puck-moving partner’s impact. No Florida defender is more physically involved in the game than Mikkola, who had 88 blocks and 137 hits last year. He would have led the team in the former had he not missed a handful of games with an upper-body injury. Those numbers were still down from 2023-24, when he led the team in both blocks (124) and hits (198).
Oftentimes, a player recording high block/hit totals is a good indicator of individual defensive skills that don’t translate to tangible possession impacts. That’s not the case with Mikkola, who, despite having negative relative Corsi impacts over his two years in Florida, has still managed to control 53.2% of expected goals at even strength, losing the quantity battle but winning the quality one.
With Aaron Ekblad, Gustav Forsling, and Jones all signed through at least 2030, Mikkola was the only long-term question mark in a top-four group that’s helped fuel the Panthers to back-to-back Stanley Cup championships. Even bottom-pairing veteran Dmitry Kulikov is signed through 2027-28, leaving the Cats with very little expected movement among their defense corps over the next few years. Eleven skaters – nearly half of their active roster – are now signed through at least the end of the decade, an unmatched amount of long-term commitment anywhere else in the league.
That’s great news for the Panthers, who have no blue-chip prospects in the organization after graduating Mackie Samoskevich to full-time NHL duties. Their top prospect from an already league-worst pool, winger Justin Sourdif, was traded to the Capitals over the offseason. There are still a couple of intriguing forwards in the system, but the same can’t be said for their defense group – led by the team’s new No. 1 prospect according to NHL.com, 2024 third-round pick Matvei Shuravin, who isn’t expected to make an NHL impact for another few years and likely won’t peak above a bottom-pairing option if he does.
Mikkola was one of two big-name pending UFAs in Florida, the other being starting netminder Sergei Bobrovsky. Getting one done before the start of the regular season only opens up more resources and financial stability to aid in smoothing over negotiations with the other.
Image courtesy of James Carey Lauder-Imagn Images.
Emily Kaplan of ESPN was first to report the two sides were close on a long-term deal.
Nice – I thought he’d get 5-6 but Panthers MO has been pretty clear with basically all their signings. I can’t think of any other team in recent memory locking up this many guys for so long. Now they just need to sort their plans in net the next few years
I would assume bob comes back on a nice deal. All these contracts are all over the board from either slight overpays but look like 2 years down the road being nice cap hits to down right sweet heart deals now that will look incredible 2-3 years the road. Also Marchand who could be Corey Perry like player in the last year or 2. All that to say Florida could be a absolute beast for the next decade cause of how they’ve locked up guys or they could be a cautionary tale
Mikola is already 29, i don’t see the benefit of locking up an already slow D-Man that long would age good you mightnonly get a good first half of that deal
I agree. The Panthers are all in on the next 4 years though. If they can win again in that time frame they won’t care how some of these contracts play out (like Marchand).