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Snapshots: Draft Lottery, Petry, Blues

April 26, 2024 at 4:24 pm CDT | by Josh Erickson 4 Comments

The NHL announced today the 2024 NHL Draft Lottery will be held on Tuesday, May 7, to determine the order of selection for the first 16 picks of the first round. It’s widely regarded as a deep class at the top with not much separation throughout the top 10 prospects, but there is a clear-cut choice at first overall.

That’s Boston University center Macklin Celebrini, who’s coming off one of the most memorable freshman seasons in NCAA history. He did everything short of winning the national championship, winning the Hobey Baker Award for the top collegiate player after leading the Terriers in scoring with 64 points (32 goals, 32 assists) in 38 games. He’s also the youngest player in NCAA history, playing his entire freshman year at age 17. He doesn’t turn 18 until June 13.

The Sharks have the best odds to land him after finishing last in the league with 47 points. They have an 18.5% chance of winning the first lottery draw and a 25.5% chance of exiting the night with the first-overall pick. A rule change that took effect in 2022 ensures only the top 11 teams in the standard draft order have a shot at moving up to first overall, as each team in the drawing can only move up a maximum of 10 spots. The other 10 clubs with a shot at landing Celebrini are the Blackhawks (13.5%), Ducks (11.5%), Blue Jackets (9.5%), Canadiens (8.5%), the yet-to-be-named Utah franchise (7.5%), Senators (6.5%), Kraken (6%), Flames (5%), Devils (3.5%) and Sabres (3%).

Other tidbits from around the league:

  • Red Wings defenseman Jeff Petry has been added to USA Hockey’s roster for the 2024 IIHF World Championship, reports NHL Network’s Jon Morosi. The initial roster of 15 skaters, announced earlier this week, includes Red Wings teammates Dylan Larkin at center and Alex Lyon in goal. Petry, a right-shot, projects to serve third-pairing duties for now behind Seth Jones and Zach Werenski. He’s a candidate to be moved down the depth chart as the tournament progresses as players on teams eliminated from the Stanley Cup Playoffs join their national teams partway through. The 36-year-old had a rough first season with his hometown team, posting three goals, 24 points and a -7 rating in 73 contests while averaging 18:47 per game. It was his worst offensive output since the 2015-16 season. He’s suited up for the U.S. at three prior World Championships, all as a member of the Oilers organization in 2012, 2013 and 2014.
  • The Blues are one of many teams looking to fill a head coaching vacancy after rolling with an interim down the stretch or making a change over the offseason. Drew Bannister is still a strong candidate to land the job after leading the club to a much-improved 30-19-5 record after taking over for Craig Berube in December, but the organization is still conducting an external search before removing his interim tag. The St. Louis Post-Dispatch’s Matthew DeFranks examined who those external options could be in an article Friday (subscription required), namely University of Denver head coach David Carle, fresh off his second national title in three years. The 34-year-old will likely receive calls from all teams still with a hole, including the Senators and Sharks, so the Blues won’t be alone in their potential pursuit. Carle also added to his trophy case this season by leading the U.S. contingent to a gold medal at the 2024 World Juniors. A trio of coaches fired mid-season also made DeFranks’ list, including ex-Oilers bench boss Jay Woodcroft and former Kings coach Todd McLellan. Former Wild coach Dean Evason could also be an option, although he’s already been linked to Ottawa’s coaching vacancy.
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2024 NHL Draft| Detroit Red Wings| St. Louis Blues| Team USA Jeff Petry| World Championships

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Comments

  1. deepseamonster32

    1 year ago

    The odds on the lottery are overly favorable to the worst team, rewarding the worst (best?) tankers in the league. Need to adjust it to take into account teams 12-16.

    And also think about what the PWHL is doing with their draft lottery.

    1
    Reply
  2. User 517680827

    1 year ago

    It’s doubtful any draft lottery in US pro sports has ever been fixed. But man, if blackhawks end up with celebrini? That will be way shady.

    3
    Reply
    • jminn

      1 year ago

      At last year’s draft lottery, only two teams dropped in position: Anaheim and Columbus. And only one team moved up in position: Chicago. Talk about shady.

      3
      Reply
    • Doghockey

      1 year ago

      Members of your amusing clan having been seeing ghosts in the corners and and league conspiracies at pretty much every draft lottery for decades. Shockingly, none of you have ever produced any solid evidence to support your claims and ramblings.

      2
      Reply

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